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Bitcoin has performed well in the past few days after experiencing a strong downturn in the first two weeks of September. This rally kickstarted in the middle of this week after the Fed decided to slash the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points (bps), a move that proved positive for cryptocurrencies.
Notably, this rally was already predicted by a few crypto analyst through technical indicators. One of such is Ali Martinez, who is a master of the TD Sequential. However, in an interesting turn of events, the analyst has highlighted the case for investors to “book some profits,” which is a sign of potential price correction up ahead.
Analyzing The Bitcoin Rally
Bitcoin, which struggled to gain momentum earlier in the month, entered a strong rally that began to take shape midweek. This rally saw Bitcoin break above $63,000 again and increase its market dominance. Furthermore, the rally peaked at $63,830, reflecting an increase of about 20.77% from a low of $52,827 on September 6.
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However, despite the current optimism surrounding Bitcoin’s price action, Martinez has issued a word of caution to investors. In a post shared on social media platform X, Martinez highlighted that the TD Sequential, a tool he frequently uses to analyze market trends, is now indicating the potential for a price correction near the $63,700 level.
Martinez pointed out that the same TD Sequential indicator, which flashed a buy signal at $57,400 before Bitcoin’s recent rally, is now warning of a possible pullback. This suggests that while the recent surge has been remarkable, the market may be nearing a critical juncture where prices could retrace.
The TD Sequential told you to buy #Bitcoin at $57,400, and now it is telling you to book some profits at $63,700! pic.twitter.com/0h1yNowkae
— Ali (@ali_charts) September 20, 2024
Is It Time To Sell?
Looking at Bitcoin’s price action since July, the $63,000, which acted as an order block earlier in the year, has largely acted as the beginning of a resistance level during price increases. However, while the TD Sequential signals a potential price correction, Bitcoin bulls are still testing the confirmation of a continued rally.
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According to another analysis by Ali Martinez, Bitcoin is now testing the 200-day SMA, which is a critical level for confirming bull runs. History has shown that failure to break above the 200-day SMA has led to significant corrections in the past. If history were to repeat itself, this could lead to a correction towards $40,000 before the end of the year.
Recent market dynamics and fundamentals have shown Bitcoin is now in a better place than it was in the past. There are now bullish catalysts within the ecosystem, like Spot Bitcoin ETFs, that would prevent a correction of such magnitude. Also, a green monthly close in September could better pave the way for a green ‘Uptober,’ leading to the continued rally in October.
Nevertheless, the $63,000 and 200 SMA $63,900 price levels are important to watch for Bitcoin moving forward.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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